“Where the merchant goes, the soldier follows.”
Scarcity is the name, anarchy is the game.
Competition over resources lies at the root of modern conflict, however much we might wish to believe something else.
Today, the resources are not as obvious as they were in the past. Our ancestors fought over food, water and land.
We fight over tech, data, and access.
Leuctra helps you unlock commercial and political opportunities by decoding emerging technologies, markets, and conflicts.
Yesterday’s Wars:
The Pacific War (1941-1945) erupted when the United States restricted the export of oil to Japan.
The First Gulf War (1990-1991) erupted when Iraq invaded Kuwait to control its oil fields.
Today’s Conflicts
The South China Sea: fisheries, oil & gas, shipping lanes.
The Russo-Ukrainian War: wheat, arable land, coal & steel (Donbas),
Tomorrow’s Flashpoints
Taiwan – semiconductors
The Western Sahel – uranium